Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035043 0.038118 0.041203 0.044524 0.047992 0.051502 0.055318
2026-01-18 0.030563 0.035171 0.039934 0.045204 0.050849 0.056694 0.063185
2026-01-25 0.025562 0.031111 0.037018 0.043720 0.051066 0.058825 0.067597
2026-02-01 0.022203 0.028470 0.035320 0.043267 0.052145 0.061679 0.072614
2026-02-08 0.019618 0.026433 0.034068 0.043106 0.053373 0.064554 0.077532
2026-02-15 0.018270 0.025673 0.034139 0.044323 0.056046 0.068950 0.084066
2026-02-22 0.016960 0.024831 0.034012 0.045222 0.058285 0.072803 0.089948
2026-03-01 0.015602 0.023816 0.033588 0.045696 0.059969 0.075977 0.095024
2026-03-08 0.014252 0.022707 0.032966 0.045864 0.061238 0.078629 0.099468
2026-03-15 0.013461 0.022245 0.033083 0.046870 0.063452 0.082339 0.105095
2026-03-22 0.011955 0.020746 0.031835 0.046157 0.063578 0.083592 0.107870
2026-03-29 0.011019 0.019943 0.031409 0.046404 0.064811 0.086102 0.112069
2026-04-05 0.010298 0.019408 0.031321 0.047083 0.066593 0.089299 0.117125
2026-04-12 0.009582 0.018834 0.031152 0.047639 0.068216 0.092307 0.121967
2026-04-19 0.008112 0.017067 0.029333 0.046045 0.067162 0.092107 0.123028
2026-04-26 0.007175 0.016011 0.028408 0.045547 0.067420 0.093441 0.125868
2026-05-03 0.006428 0.015186 0.027756 0.045367 0.068046 0.095195 0.129189
2026-05-10 0.006194 0.015156 0.028197 0.046613 0.070454 0.099098 0.135062
2026-05-17 0.005879 0.014969 0.028401 0.047536 0.072448 0.102498 0.140337
2026-05-24 0.005460 0.014576 0.028289 0.048022 0.073879 0.105206 0.144783
2026-05-31 0.004985 0.014048 0.027958 0.048194 0.074896 0.107400 0.148608
2026-06-07 0.004774 0.013966 0.028269 0.049228 0.077014 0.110941 0.154051
2026-06-14 0.004133 0.013050 0.027306 0.048495 0.076835 0.111644 0.156065